Sunday, April 8, 2012

Betulkah harga emas berada pada paras terendah USD1550 pada 9 hingga 13 April 2012

Salam,

Berikut merupakan rumusan harga emas yang boleh Pendita Emas simpulkan selepas membaca pelbagai artikel berkenaan Analisa Teknikal dan Analisa Fundamental pergerakan harga emas sepanjang minggu ini.

Hal ini disebabkan sasaran paras harga diharapkan untuk membuat rebound pada paras harga USD1650 telah gagal dicapai dan ditutup pada harga USD1632 sahaja selepas pengharapan kenaikan selepas pertengahan minggu gagal diraih akibat terlalu banyak banyak acara dan sidang akhbar serta laporan data dibentangkan yang mengukuhkan nilai USD berbanding Euro seterusnya merencatkan kenaikan harga emas.

Pada hemat Pendita Emas, prospek untuk membuat jualan ditumpukan pada zon dagangan Asia, manakala zon untuk membuat bidaan harga terletak pada zon Eropah dan zon Amerika Syarikat.

Target dibuat berdasarkan fakta fundamental yang akan mempengaruhi penolakan harga emas keparas terendah dalam minggu ini sebagai berikut:



Ia ditambah dengan pengukuhan nilai dolar pada minggu depan berbanding euro. Walaupun nilai Euro lebih tinggi berbanding USD minggu ini ia hanya rekod seketika sahaja. Mengapa nilai dolar mengukuh membantu menolak harga emas menurun disebab USD menjadi satu-satunya matawang tunggal yang digunakan kebanyakan negara diseluruh dunia.


Begitu juga dengan kajian ke atas 24 daripada 32 pakar penjual emas jongkong, bank pelabur, pengurus-pengurus kewangan dan pakar-pakar analisa mengandaikan bahawa harga emas bullish (8 undian), neutral (7 undian) dan menurun (9 undian).

Keputusan harga yang diharapkan:

Paling tinggi : USD1630
Harga tinggi : USD1620
Harga Pertengahan : USD1600
Harga Rendah : USD1580
Harga Terendah: USD1550
Harga Lantai : RM1530

Persoalannya mengapa Zon Asia menjadi sasaran jualan dan Zon Eropah dan USA menjadi medan bidaan berdasarkan info berikut:

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Ahead of the coming week, Forexpros has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, April 9

Markets in Australia, Switzerland, the euro zone and the U.K. will remain closed due to the Easter holiday.

Japan is to produce government data on the country’s current account, the difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers.

The euro zone is to produce official data on investor confidence, a leading indicator of economic health.

Later in the day, the Bank of Canada is to publish its Business Outlook Survey, a key gauge of economic health.

Tuesday, April 10

Australia is to publish industry data on job advertisements followed by a report on business confidence. Meanwhile, the BoJ is to release its monetary policy statement, which is to be followed by a press conference later in the day.

The U.K. is to release industry data on house price balance, an important signal of housing inflation.

In the euro zone, France is to release official data on industrial production, a leading indicator of economic health.

Elsewhere, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is due to speak at the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Financial Markets Conference.

Wednesday, April 11

New Zealand is to release industry data on business confidence and house price inflation, while Australia is to publish a report by the Westpac Banking Corporation on consumer sentiment, a key indicator of consumer spending. The country is also to produce official data on home loans, a key gauge of demand in the housing market.

Meanwhile, Japan is to release government data on core machinery orders, a leading indicator of production. Later in the day, the BoJ is to publish its monthly report, which contains the statistical data that BOJ Policy Board members evaluated when making the latest interest rate decision.

Also Wednesday, the U.K. is to produce industry data on retail sales, an important indicator of economic health.

Elsewhere, Canada is to publish industry data on housing starts, an important signal of economic health.

In the U.S., government data is to be released on import prices as well as crude oil stockpiles and the federal budget balance. The Fed is also to publish its Beige Book.

Thursday, April 12

Australia is to release a report by the Melbourne Institute on inflation expectations, followed by official data on employment change and the unemployment rate, an important signal of economic health.

In the euro zone, the European Central Bank is to publish its monthly bulletin. A report on industrial production in the single currency bloc is also to be released later in the day.

Elsewhere in Europe, the U.K. is to produce official data on trade balance, the difference in value between imported and exported goods.

Later in the day, Canada is to release data on trade balance, followed by an official report on new housing price inflation, a key indicator of the housing industry’s health.

Also Thursday, the U.S. is to produce official data on the trade balance, as well as government data on producer price inflation and initial unemployment claims.

Friday, April 13

The BoJ is to release the minutes of its most recent policy meeting.

Later in the day, the U.K. is to publish official data on producer price inflation input, a leading indicator of consumer inflation.

The U.S. is to round up the week with official data on consumer price inflation and a preliminary report by the University of Michigan on consumer sentiment, a key gauge of consumer spending. Fed Chairman Bernanke is also due to speak later Friday.

Belian Emas Fizikal Tempatan:

Isu ini sangat menarik. Ramai mantee Pendita Emas bertanya bila masa boleh beli emas fizikal. So kita borong sahaja pada jam 10.00am hingga jam 4.00pm waktu tempatan. Untuk membuat jualan carilah pelanggan yang mahu membeli emas fizikal selepas jam 6.00 petang waktu tempatan.

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