Salam buat semua mantee Pendita Emas,
Hari ini tepat jam 11.43 malam bersamaan 6 Mei 2012, Pendita Emas mencadangkan gagasan 4 keluk harga emas semasa dunia sepanjang minggu ini (7 hingga 11 Mac 2012).
Pilihan harga Pendita Emas sebagai berikut:
1. Kesan pilihanraya Presiden Perancis kali kedua bakal mengubah corak iklim Perancis jika Sarkozy tewas kepada Hollande.
2. Menyusul pula pilihanraya di Greece bakal menjejaskan pelan penjimatan yang disediakan oleh Jerman.
3. Kejatuhan nilai Euro terkena tempias kesan pilihanraya Perancis dan Greece
4.Kelemahan data pekerjaan US yang lemah apabila hanya memenuhi 155,000 daripada jumlah disasarkan iaitu 163,000.
5.Kesan Laporan Imbangan Perdagangan US. Jika positif harga emas menurun.
6. Kesan Laporan Pekerjaan Australia.
7.Ucapan Bernanke Pengerusi Fed
8. Kesan laporan Imbangan Perdagangan China
9. Laporan Perintah Kilang Jerman
10.Laporan bulanan OPEC
11. Tuntutan Pengganguran US
Pada hari Isnin 7 Mei 2012 perdagangan emas bakal dipengaruhi aktiviti ekonomi dunia berikut:
02:30 – Australian Retail Sales: This monthly report will refer to the developments inAustralia’s retail sales report for March 2012. The retail sales (seasonally adjusted) edged up by 0.2% in February; this news may affect the strength of the Aussie dollar;
08:00 – Swiss National Bank Forex Reserves: the central bank ofSwitzerland will release the total value of its foreign currencies reserves during April;
12:00 – German Factory orders: this report will highlight the changes in theGermany factory orders during March; this news could indicate the progress of the German Economy and consequently may affect foreign exchange and commodities traders; last time, the orders rose by 0.3
Thursday, May 10th
tentative –China’s Trade Balance: according to the previous report, China’s trade balance changed direction from a $31.5 billion deficit to a $5.4 billion surplus; if the exports will rise it may indicate that China’s economic growth is rising and thus may positively affect prices of commodities;
tentative –OPEC Monthly Report: this report will refer to the main changes in crude oil and natural gas’s supply and demand worldwide; the report will also analyze the shifts in the production of OPEC countries during April 2012; this news may affect the direction of oil prices (See here a summary of the last April report);
12:00 – Great Britain Bank Rate & Asset Purchase Plan : Bank ofEngland will decide on its basic rate for May 2012 and the progress of its asset purchase plan; as of April the BOE’s rate was still flat at 0.5% and the asset purchase plan of £325 billion was in progress;
13:30 –Canadian Trade Balance: In the previous report regarding February 2012, exports decreased by 3.9%, and imports edged up by 0.2%; as a result, the trade balance shrunk to a surplus of $292 million; this report may affect the trading of the Canadian dollar which tends to be strongly correlated with price of gold and crude oil;
13:30 –American Trade Balance: This monthly report for March 2012 will present the developments in imports and exports of goods and services to and from the U.S, including commodities such as crude oil; In the previous American trade balance report for February the goods and services deficit decreased during the month to $46 billion.
13:30 – U.S. Department of Labor– Jobless Claims Weekly Report: this report will refer to the weekly changes in the initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 5th; in the previous report the jobless claims sharply declined to 365,000; this upcoming weekly report may affect the path of the U.S dollar and consequently commodities prices;
14:30 – Bernanke Speech: following the FOMC meeting of April the Chairman of the Federal Reserve will give a speech regarding the US banking that may affect the direction of forex and commodities markets. The title of the speech is ” Banks and Bank Lending: The State of Play “;
15:30 – EIA U.S. Natural Gas Storage Report: the EIA weekly update of the U.S. natural gas market will include the recent developments in natural gas production, storage, consumption and price as of May 4th; in the recent report, natural gas storage rose by 28 Bcf to 2,576 Bcf; if the natural gas storage will keep rising, it may curb the recent rally of U.S natural gas prices;
Friday May 11th
Tentative –IEA monthly oil report: this upcoming report will present an updated (as of April) outlook and analysis for the global crude oil market for 2012 and 2013 (See here a summary of the previous report);
09:30 – Great Britain PPI Input: this report will present the yearly rate of GB’s producer price index for April 2012; in the last report regarding March the input price rose by 1.9% (M-2-M); this news may affect the British Pound;
13:30 – Canada Unemployment Rate and Employment Report: In the previous employment report for March 2012, unemployment edged down by 0.2 percent points to 7.2%; the employment sharply rose by 82k; the upcoming report might affect the Canadian dollar and consequently the prices of energy commodities including crude oil and natural gas prices; take into account that Canada is among the leading exporters of these commodities to the U.S (see here the recent report);
13:30 – U.S. Producer Price Index: This report will show the progress in the PPI during April 2012, i.e. the inflation rate from producers’ stand point. In the previous report regarding March this index for finished goods remained unchanged compared with February’s rate and rose by 2.8% in the past 12 months; this news might affect the development of gold and silver prices;
Sumber jadual aktiviti :www.tradingnrg.com