Ucapan Ben Bernanke Memberi Momentum dan Nafas Baru Kepada Pergerakan Harga Emas Dunia Pada Awal April 2012

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27 Mac 2012

Salam buat semua pembaca dan mantee Pendita Emas,

Alhamdulillah, arah aliran harga emas untuk 3 bulan mendatang Pendita Emas dapat menyatakan bahawa harga emas termasuk komoditi yang lain akan menjadi satu perniagaan yang sangat mantap.

Seperti pelabur dan mantee Pendita Emas sedia maklum, beberapa aktiviti dan isu besar yang berlangsung di zon pasaran Eropah dan Amerika Syarikat pada awal dagangan sangat membimbangkan semua pelabur jangka panjang. klik sini umtuk memahami penerangan berkenaan.

Ini disebabkan perkara-perkara yang terkandung dalam posting dinyatakan mempunyai pengaruh dan kekuatan masing-masing dalam mencetuskan polemik harga emas sedunia. Perkara-perkara yang menjadi fokus Pendita dalam membuat trading gold sepanjang hari Isnin 26 Mac 2012 ialah perkara berikut:

On Today’s Agenda

Bernanke Speech: following the FOMC meeting the Chairman of the Federal Reserve will give a speech regarding the US labor market that may affect the direction of forex and commodities markets. If he will provide big headlines from this speech it could have a big effect on gold and silver prices;

U.S. Pending Home Sales: This report shows the changes in pending home sales in the U.S. for February 2012; in the recent report the pending home sales index rose by 2% compared with the previous month’s index; based on last week’s reports on housing sales (new and existing) the pending sales may also decrease. In such a case U.S dollar may weaken;

German Business Climate Survey: This survey estimates the developments (on a monthly basis) of the business climate of Germany. If this report will continue to be positive, it may positively affect the Euro;

ECB President Draghi Speaks: Following the March ECB rate decision in which the rate remained at 1% the President of the ECB will give a speech. He may refer to the recent Greek debt crisis and the progress of the EU economy. His speech may influence the direction of the Eur/USD currencies pair;

Forex / Gold & Silver Market – March

The Euro/U.S Dollar rose on Friday by 0.52% to 1.327. During March Euro/U.S Dollar decreased by 0.41%; furthermore, the Australian dollar Canadian dollar also appreciated against the U.S. dollar by 0.72%, and 0.14%, respectively. The Aussie dollar and Euro were historically linearly correlated with the daily percent changes of gold and silver prices. If the Euro/USD and AUD/USD currencies pair will continue to rally today then they may indicate gold and silver may also trade up. Currently, the Euro/USD is slightly falling.

Sumber : TradingNRG

Hasil dari ucapan Ben Bernanke Pengerusi FED Amerika Syarikat bertajuk " “Recent Developments in the Labor Market” menyuntik kembali pergerakan harga emas yang positif. Intipati ucapannya penting ialah:

Ucapan awalnya Bernanke menjelaskan:

In the speech, Bernanke stated that the recent improvement in the labor market was rapid and he is not sure if this growth rate will be sustainable or will the unemployment rate start rising again.

Kemudian Bernanke menambah lagi:

“Further significant improvements in the unemployment rate will likely require a more-rapid expansion of production and demand from consumers and businesses, a process that can be supported by continued accommodative policies,”

Ucapannya memberi terjamahan bahawa:

• Perlaksanaan satu lagi rangsangan pelan QE yang baru dan sudah menunggu di atas meja untuk diumumkan.
• Pasangan matawang Euro/USD meningkat naik 0.66%
• Harga emas melonjak naik 1.78% dan akan terus meningkat sehingga mesyuarat FED selanjutnya pada bulan April

Kesimpulannya:

Sebagai pelabur emas jangka panjang Pendita menasihatkan supaya pada awal bulan April 2012 ini semua pemilik emas fizikal bertindak bijak. Iaitu ada wang tukar segera kepada emas fizikal dan buatlah trading secara kerap. Sesiapa yang tersangkut dalam arrahnu buatlah jualan mega atau jumbo sale atau lelongan emas pada harga yang menguntungkan. lelongan kita tidak memerlukan lesen lelongan dari pihak berwajib disebabkan ia tidak tertakluk dalam barangan berjadual atau barang terkawal.